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☆ Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha: We have a bull case of $5,500 for the S&P this year
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-08 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailDeutsche Bank's Binky Chadha: We have a bull case of $5,500 for the S&P this yearBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief U.S. equity and global strategist, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss why the S&P 500 will eventually power through the $5,000 mark, what needs to go right for Chadha's S&P projections, and risks to equity market growth.

Persons: Chadha Organizations: Deutsche, Deutsche Bank

Fourth-quarter earnings season is kicking off with a mix of good and bad news. Without those six stocks, the rest of the S & P is expected to see earnings fall 6%. There's a lot riding on earnings in 2024 For the S & P 500 to increase in 2024, earnings need to expand. But with the S & P 500 up over 20% last year, the forward earnings multiple is roughly 19.6, in the very pricey range. We need higher revenues The biggest risk to higher earnings is lower revenue growth.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, General Mills, Mobileye, Nick Raich, Adam Crisafulli, BofA's Subramanian, Deutsche, Binky, Sam Stovall Organizations: Pfizer, Merck, Moderna, Bank of America, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nike, FedEx, General, Darden, Constellation Brands, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Vital, Deutsche Bank's Locations: Wayfair, Conagra

"We always said we will win the heartland states," BJP President Jagat Prakash Nadda told Reuters. However, a 28-party opposition alliance led by the Congress party has come together to jointly fight BJP, posing a new challenge. But the alliance did not feature in the state polls due to internal rivalries and it was a direct contest between BJP and Congress. Politicians and analysts say state elections do not always influence the outcome of the general elections or accurately indicate national voter mood. Results of the last round of state elections before national elections have been misleading in the past.

Persons: Stringer, Narendra Modi, Modi, Rahul Gandhi, Jagat Prakash Nadda, Jyotiraditya Scindia, Gandhi, Supriya Shrinate, Gurmeet Chadha, Ira Dugal, Lincoln, Christopher Cushing Organizations: REUTERS, DELHI, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Telangana, Reuters, Developmental, Congress, Thomson Locations: Madhya Pradesh, Indore, India, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, Karnataka, Mizoram, Mumbai

☆ Here's why some of Wall Street's biggest bulls are still calling for a recession in 2024 — and 4 investments they recommend right now
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-02 | by ( James Faris | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

After a year of steady, resilient growth, the US economy will finally slip into a recession in 2024. Deutsche Bank is also calling for double-digit profit growth in a weaker economic backdrop. "For 2024, the house economics view with a mild short US recession implies $250 (+10%)," Chadha wrote in reference to S&P 500 earnings. Deutsche Bank also foresees earnings growth next year. "We remain overweight the financials as well as consumer cyclicals as they are already priced for a recession and the biggest beneficiary of an eventual recovery," Chadha wrote.

Persons: That's, —, Chris Grisanti, Brian Belski, Chadha, Belski, Financials, BMO's Organizations: Wall, Business, BMO Capital Markets, Deutsche Bank, MAI Capital Management, CNBC, BMO, Deutsche, Labor, Investors, Tech Locations: Chadha

☆ Stock-market bulls are growing bolder: Now Deutsche Bank predicts the S&P 500 will hit a record 5,100 in 2024
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( George Glover | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

The benchmark S&P 500 will climb 12% to hit a new all-time high of 5,100, strategists said. Much of Wall Street has turned bullish on the index, which has defied gloomy predictions to rack up stellar gains this year. AdvertisementDeutsche Bank has become the latest big name on Wall Street to issue a bullish stock-market forecast for 2024, with analysts predicting the S&P 500 will soar to a fresh all-time high next year. AdvertisementWall Street bullishnessThere's clearly an optimistic atmosphere amongst stock-pickers right now, with Deutsche Bank far from the only big name on Wall Street to predict the S&P 500 could climb to record highs. Burnishing Chadha's credentials is the fact that he was one of the only Wall Street strategists who called this year's surprise stock-market rally.

Persons: —, Goldman Sachs, …, Binky Chadha, Tesla, Société Générale, Brian Belski, Burnishing Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Service, Bank of America, RBC Capital Markets, BMO Capital, Deutsche, Business, Big Tech, Apple, Microsoft, Google, Nvidia, Facebook, Nasdaq, Dow Jones

☆ Don’t read too much into those Black Friday and Cyber Monday spending totals
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-28 | by ( Elisabeth Buchwald | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +6 min

“It shows the psychological mind frame of consumers,” said Mickey Chadha, vice president of corporate finance at Moody’s Investors Services, referring to holiday spending data. This year, dollar sales growth for the holidays in the United States is forecast to slow to 3.3% from 6% last year. It means the spending growth it reported was “driven by net-new demand, not simply higher prices,” Adobe said. The experts CNN spoke to were all in agreement: Holiday spending data — no matter how good or bad — doesn’t represent the state of the entire US economy. A report she coauthored with Chadha predicts holiday sales will grow “a fairly modest 1% to 3%” this year.

Persons: ”, Mickey Chadha, Aditya Bhave, David Paul Morris, That’s, Tamara Charm, Charm, ” Adobe, Chedly Louis, Chadha, Michael Zdinak, he’s, Bhave, that’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, Moody’s Investors Services, Adobe Analytics, Adobe, P Global Market Intelligence, Bank of America, Bloomberg, Getty, Consumer, Consumers, McKinsey, CNN, Moody’s Investors Locations: New York, United States, That’s

☆ Southeast Asia has borne economic headwinds 'in a very good way,' Google regional VP says
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailSoutheast Asia has borne economic headwinds 'in a very good way,' Google regional VP saysSapna Chadha, vice president of Southeast Asia at Google, explains what's behind the region's economic resilience.

Persons: Sapna Chadha Organizations: Google Locations: Asia, Southeast Asia

☆ What Q3 results say about potential year-end rally
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhat Q3 results say about potential year-end rallyBinky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss the potential for a year-end rally, the weak guidance from companies who have reported earnings, and more.

Organizations: Deutsche Bank

☆ Southeast Asia's digital economy – from e-commerce to online media – is set to hit $218 billion in 2023, report shows
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-01 | by ( Sheila Chiang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The yearly report analyzed the five main sectors of Southeast Asia's digital economy – e-commerce, travel, food and transport, online media and digital financial services. The report also revealed revenue in Southeast Asia's digital economy is expected to hit $100 billion this year, growing 1.7 times as fast as the region's total transaction value. "Southeast Asia's digital economy is really in the midst of an unprecedented pivot towards profitability. Despite investors being pickier, "dry powder" increased to $15.7 billion at the end of 2022, up from $12.4 billion in 2021. "This shows that there is fuel available to propel Southeast Asia's digital economy to the next stage of growth," the report said.

Persons: Carlina, Hoong, Chadha, Fock, CNBC's JP Ong Organizations: Google, Temasek, Bain & Company, Companies Locations: Asia, Southeast, Southeast Asia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, East Timor, Papua New Guinea

☆ Earnings season begins with markets lower than three months ago, but expectations are higher
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

Q3 S & P 500 earnings: Trending higher July 1: $55.76 Today: $55.78 Source: LSEG Q4 S & P 500 earnings: Trending higher July 1: $57.58 Today: $58.14 Source: LSEG The fact that the third quarter estimate of $55.78 is slightly below the third quarter of last year ($56.02) is not important; what matters is the trend in earnings. For Q3 2023, 76 S & P 500 companies have issued negative EPS guidance and 42 S & P 500 companies have issued positive EPS guidance, according to John Butters, senior earnings analyst at FactSet. "The earnings outlook for the S & P 500 for the third quarter is less negative relative to recent quarters," Butters told clients. "The percentage of companies issuing negative earnings guidance is equal to the 10-year average." Here's what stands out: The average earnings growth was 10.6%; the average revenue growth was 4.2%.

Persons: —, John Butters, Butters, Nick Raich, It's, Chadha Organizations: FactSet, Companies, FedEx, Oracle, Darden, Costco, Pepsi, PepsiCo, Frito, Barclays, JPMorgan, Deutsche Bank Locations: America, AutoZone, United States, Mexico, Russia, Canada, China, South Africa, Japan, abate

☆ Deutsche Bank strategist says this counterintuitive trade can work as rates rise
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-04 | by ( Alex Harring | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

There are two places investors want to look with interest rates climbing — and it may not be the places they'd expect, said Binky Chadha, Deutsche Bank chief global strategist. Interest rates have hit new multiyear highs in recent days, pressuring the stock market and raising investor alarm. Chadha said investors should look at banks and consumer cyclical names in this market. Bank stocks took a sharp hit amid the sector crisis earlier this year, and have slipped in recent months as investors considered the state of the economy. Consumer discretionary names in the S & P 500 have climbed more than 24% this year despite a modest retreat in the third quarter.

Persons: Binky Chadha, Chadha Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Treasury, P Bank ETF, Bank, Nasdaq

New Delhi CNN —When Indian prime minister Narendra Modi inaugurated the Group of 20 (G20) leaders’ summit on Saturday, he sat behind a country name placard that piqued the interest of many. “PM Modi uses placard Bharat for G20 inaugural address,” ran a headline in the Times of India, one of the country’s largest English-language outlets, moments after. Both India and Bharat are used officially in the nation of 1.4 billion people, which has more than 20 official languages. Bharat is also the Hindi word for India and is used interchangeably – both feature on Indian passports for example. But the use of “Bharat” on the G20 invites has raised eyebrows among opposition leaders.

Persons: Narendra Modi, Bharat, Modi, ”, “ Bharat, “, –, ’, ” Harnath Singh Yadav, Virender Sehwag, Bharat ”, ” Shashi Tharoor, Raghav Chadha, Jaishankar Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, “, Bharat, Group, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Cricket, Developmental, INDIA, Aam Aadmi Locations: New Delhi, ’, India, Times of India, Britain, British, Indian, INDIA

☆ Insider Today: Y Combinator's Demo Day decline
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-07 | by ( Dan Defrancesco | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +10 min

Y Combinator's Demo Day, which will wrap up today, was long considered the event for early-stage startups. AdvertisementAdvertisementInvestors front-running Demo Day was previously considered a major faux pas. You might ask yourself: Who cares if startups line up investments before Demo Day? And companies that get investments before Demo Day might regret it in the long run. The new rating system for performance reviews determines pay — and managers were instructed to not share it with employees.

Persons: I've, that's, Madeline Renbarger, haven't, It's, it's, Samantha Lee, Madeline, There's, Martin, Ryan Reynolds, LeBron James, they're, Ed Yardeni, Jeremy Grantham, Brevan Howard, Peter Hornick, Eduardo Munoz, Sapna Chadha, Shopify, Arantza Pena Popo, YIMBYism, Elon Musk, Katy Perry, Hozier, Hayao Miyazaki's, Heidi Tissenbaum's, Dan DeFrancesco, Naga Siu, Hallam Bullock, Lisa Ryan Organizations: Service, NFL, Tech, Bank, Getty Images, REUTERS, Google, Google Asia Pacific, The Kansas City Chiefs —, Detroit Lions, 48th Toronto, Getty Locations: Wall, Silicon, Silicon Valley, Nevada, The, New York City, San Diego, London, New York

☆ A Google VP says the top trait she looks for when hiring people is a 'growth mindset' because they are willing to innovate
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Sawdah Bhaimiya | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +3 min

Google's Asia Pacific vice president said its most successful employees have a "growth mindset." She explained that among Google's most successful staff "a growth mindset is a common characteristic … It's one of the biggest drivers of good performance and results." Part of having a growth mindset is viewing "your career not as a ladder to climb, but a jungle gym," which means being focused not just on moving up but across different areas to broaden your skillsets, Chadha said. O'Keefe offered advice on developing a growth mindset, emphasizing that it's all about nurturing your curiosity to increase your knowledge in different areas. A former Google recruiter of five years, Jeff Sipe, recently told Insider that "soft skills are just as important" when trying to land a job in tech.

Persons: they've, haven't, Chadha, Paul O'Keefe, Sweta Patel, O'Keefe, Jeff Sipe, Sipe Organizations: Google's Asia Pacific, CNBC, Service, Google Asia, Yale National University of Singapore Locations: Wall, Silicon

Both India and Bharat are used officially in the nation of 1.4 billion people, which has more than 20 official languages. “India, that is Bharat, shall be a Union of States,” the country’s constitution states. Bharat is also the Hindi word for India and is used interchangeably – both feature on Indian passports for example. “The word ‘India’ is an abuse given to us by the British, whereas the word ‘Bharat’ is a symbol of our culture,” Harnath Singh Yadav, a BJP politician, told Indian broadcaster ANI. Some opposition politicians said the government’s use of Bharat was a response to the formation of the INDIA alliance.

Persons: Bharat, ”, Droupadi Murmu, Narendra Modi, Modi, –, ’, ” Harnath Singh Yadav, Virender Sehwag, Bharat ’, Bharat ”, ” Shashi Tharoor, “, it’s, Raghav Chadha, Jaishankar Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Indian, of States, Bharatiya Janata Party, BJP, Cricket, Developmental, INDIA, Aam Aadmi Locations: New Delhi, India, Delhi, Britain, British, Kingsway, Nicobar, INDIA

☆ Google VP shares the No. 1 thing she looks for in job interviews: ‘This is a critical trait’
▼ + stars: | 2023-09-06 | by ( Goh Chiew Tong | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

"I'm looking for people who want to exchange ideas, who want to innovate and are not happy with the status quo," says a Google VP. As a vice president at Google Asia Pacific, Sapna Chadha is most excited about the region's "growth story." "Within Southeast Asia, in the last few years alone, we've added 100 million new internet users. Traits of someone with a 'growth mindset'Having a growth mindset for Chadha means believing in the idea of continuous learning, and believing that one can always evolve. The response would not only be an indication of a growth mindset, but also show whether a person is willing "to exchange information and collaborate," Chanha explained.

Persons: we've, Chadha, Sapna Chadha, you've, Chanha, they've, didn't Organizations: Google Asia, CNBC, Google Locations: Asia, Southeast, South Asia, —

☆ Stocks are struggling even after earnings beats this season, Deutsche Bank says
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

However, individual stocks are struggling to perform following a quarterly beat, an "unusual" move, according to Deutsche Bank's Binky Chadha. "The market rally so far is running ahead of that in a typical earnings season at this stage," Chadha wrote Friday. Meanwhile, the S & P 500 is higher by roughly 1.6% at the midway point of earnings season, which is above the 1.1% advance typically made through this time, the strategist said. Stocks are usually higher by 2% on average by the end of the full earnings season. He said, "On the day after releasing results, stocks beating consensus expectations underperformed by a greater amount than almost any time during the past 18 years."

Persons: Chadha, Stocks, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Michael Bloom Organizations: Deutsche, Companies

As companies prepare to open their books to investors over the coming weeks, in the quarterly ritual known as earnings season, market watchers are balancing relatively weak estimates for past profits with brighter forecasts for future performance. Stock prices tend to follow expectations of earnings to come rather than react to details about the past, and markets have risen in step with investors’ improved outlook for the economy. The S&P 500 index has gained more than 20 percent since October. But much of that decline is concentrated in a few sectors, like energy, that recorded outsize profits last year, making for difficult comparisons to this year. And corporate executives also have a habit of lowering investors’ expectations ahead of earnings announcements, so that they can beat projections.

Persons: ”, Binky Chadha Organizations: Companies, Deutsche Bank

New Delhi CNN —From butter chicken to paneer makhani, Indian cuisine is unthinkable without the ubiquitous tomato. Asha, a homemaker in the capital who asked to be referred to only by her first name, told CNN the increase has hit her seven-member family hard. Some of McDonald’s (MCD) restaurants across the country have temporarily stopped serving tomatoes on their burgers, citing quality issues and shortages of supply. Of the tomatoes that were harvested, over 90% were infected by seed-born viruses, Gadve told CNN, which further exacerbated the supply shortage. Devinder Sharma, an India-based agriculture policy expert, told CNN the current shortage was also caused in part by farmers throwing away their tomatoes because no one was buying them.

Persons: Asha, “, Raghav Chadha, ” Chadha, Jocelyn Boiteau, Boiteau, Sriram Gadve, ”, Gadve, Devinder Sharma, Sharma, ” Gadve Organizations: New, New Delhi CNN, Department of Consumer Affairs, CNN, Connaught, Restaurants, Aam Aadmi Party, Twitter, Tata, Cornell Institute for Agriculture, Nutrition, University of Cambridge, Vegetable Growers Association Locations: New Delhi, India, Asia, heatwaves, India’s

The bullish view Just four of the 15 strategists expect the S & P 500 to end the year higher than current levels, albeit very slightly. He expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,500 — up 2.3% from its current level. Instead, Peng said the S & P 500 's performance will likely broaden over the second half of this year. She expects the S & P 500 to remain flat by the end of the year at 4,300. UBS expects the S & P 500 to end the year at 4,100 — a drop of 7% from current levels.

Persons: Stocks, BlackRock Karim Chedid, Jerome Powell, Karim Chedid, Chedid, Chadha, Charles Schwab Liz Ann Sonders, Ken Peng, Peng, Savita Subramanian, Andreas Bruckner, Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab, Matt Rowe, Mark Haefele, Christian Abuide, Sameer Samana, Rowe, Wouter Sturkenboom, Sturkenboom Organizations: CNBC Pro, Investment, iShares EMEA, BlackRock, Reserve, Deutsche Bank, Citi Global Wealth Investments, Big Tech, Bank of, Equity, Nomura, UBS Global Wealth Management, Federal Reserve, UBS, Lombard, RBC Wealth Management, U.S, Global Market, Wells, Wells Fargo Investment, Nomura Private Capital, EMEA, APAC, Northern Trust, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: U.S, Asia, Europe, Wells Fargo, Northern, Samana

☆ HDFC Bank is 'absolutely' a buy, says wealth management firm
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHDFC Bank is 'absolutely' a buy, says wealth management firmGurmeet Chadha of Complete Circle discusses the merger between HDFC and HDFC Bank, and says HDFC Bank is clocking in 15% to 16% of credit growth.

Persons: Gurmeet Organizations: HDFC, HDFC Bank Locations: HDFC

☆ Further stock market advance depends on rally broadening out
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-05 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The advance in those indexes, particularly the S & P 500, has been very uneven, even with last week's broad rally. Lowry Research analysts noted that investors simply in the S & P 500, or in tech stocks, were clearly in an up market. Lowry noted that 48.2% of all operating-company only stocks are 20% or more below their 52-week highs, which Lowry and others define as bear market territory. That's far worse than the 32% that were in bear market territory on February 2, when the S & P 500 was at a new high for the year. "Bull markets are hard-pressed to last when the number of stocks entering 'bear market territory' grows," Lowry noted.

Persons: You'd, Chadha, SPX, Venu Krishna, Lowry, Russell, Quincy Krosby Organizations: Deutsche Bank, Barclays, Street Journal, Lowry Research, LPL

☆ HDFC Bank vs. SBI? This strategist names his favorite stock pick among Indian banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( Ganesh Rao | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Despite the benefits of heavy deposit flows and strong deposit growth in a slow growth environment, State Bank of India (SBI) has seen its stock price fall year-to-date due to its controversial exposure to Adani. The consensus price target of all analysts compiled by FactSet also points toward 717 rupees a share, which represents a 36% upside. SBIN-IN HDFCBANK-IN 1Y line SBI shares are also traded over the counter in the U.S. and the London and Frankfurt stock exchanges. HDFC over SBI If taking a more constructive long-term view on Indian banks as a whole, Chadha prefers HDFC Bank over SBI because it is merging with HDFC — which he describes as having "huge implications" — creating an almost $300 billion financial behemoth. HDFC Bank shares are up 4% this year and analysts' price target points to a further 13% upside over the next 12 months.

☆ Strategist names his favorite stock pick among Indian banks
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-13 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailStrategist names his favorite stock pick among Indian banksGurmeet Chadha, managing partner and CIO of Complete Circle, explains why his favorite stock pick among Indian banks.

☆ HDFC and HDFC Bank merger will have 'huge implications,' says wealth management firm
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-12 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailHDFC and HDFC Bank merger will have 'huge implications,' says wealth management firmGurmeet Chadha of Complete Circle discusses whether he prefers HDFC Bank or State Bank of India.

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